Friday, August 15, 2025

Some notes - Pharmaceuticals

  • Total global market is between USD 1.5-1.7 trillion. Growing at 6-6.5% over next few years
  • North America accounts for ~half of global pharma sales  (!) - with ~4% of its people
  • Increasing growth in other countries with better access to healthcare
  • Revenue share
    • Conventional small molecule drugs ~55%
    • Biologics and Biosimilars are growing market with large molcule therapies
    • Branded Prescription drugs ~87% of revenue. But by volume 80%+ is generics or off-patent. 
    • Growing presence of generics
    • Contract manufacvturing is ~686 billion of the total.
    • Cold chain packaging ~USD 83 billion (?)
  • Large companies
    • J&J 88 b rev
    • Merch 64b (Blockbuster Keytruda $29.5nb)
    • Pfizer 63.6b
    • Others: AbbVie (~56 B), AstraZeneca (~54 B), Roche (~52 B), Novartis (~48 B), Sanofi (~47 B), Eli Lilly (~45.8 B), Novo Nordisk (~44.2 B), GSK (~40.5 B), Amgen (~33 B), et
    • Eli Lilly valued at USD 842 b - highest in terms of market cap
  • India is the largest generic API and vaccine exporter globally. 
  • India and China dominate volume in generics. Although price wise US is much bigger profitable market for pharma companies.


**


In the US
  • Brand-name drugs account for the bulk of spending, even though 88% of prescriptions are filled by generics.
  • Example: The same drug can cost 3–10x more in the U.S. compared to India or parts of Europe.
  • Insurers and pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) negotiate rebates, but list prices remain high, sustaining revenue growth.Employer-sponsored insurance, Medicare/Medicaid, and out-of-pocket spending all contribute to broad market coverage for expensive drugs.
  • Many high-cost therapies are reimbursed even when cheaper alternatives (like generics or biosimilars) exist.
  • Faster regulatory approval via FDA gives companies earlier access to revenue streams.

Metric

United States

Global Share

% of Global Pharma Revenue

~42–53% (2024 est.)

% of Global Population

~4.2%

% of R&D Investment

>50% of global total

% of Generic Drug Volume

~88% of U.S. scripts

   

<30% of total revenue



No comments:

Post a Comment